The Threat of Climate Change Requires Action
The threat of climate change, popularly known as global warming, poses
significant risk for mankind. The threat has arisen due to the accumulation of carbon
dioxide and other green house gases (GHGs) in the Earth's atmosphere, mainly
caused by use of fossil fuels. Manifestations of adverse climate change from this
anthropogenic interference are detectable, and may, in the next several decades,
result in unacceptable levels of adverse impacts.
2. The accumulation of green house gases in the atmosphere can largely be
attributed to the Industrial Revolution and the use of fossil fuels by developed
countries for the attainment of their present levels of prosperity. While developing
countries have not contributed to the problem, they will be the most affected.
3. Climate change is a especially serious threat to a country like India, which is
dependent on weather for its agricultural output. It is estimated that a 2 to 5C
increase in temperature can lower rice yields in India by 20 to 50 per cent and
wheat yields by 35 to 60 per cent. Disruptions, droughts and floods induced by
climate change can also cause great hardship and impose large costs. Land loss due
to submergence as well as due to salination, increase of flooding of low-lying coastal
areas can cause large displacement of population. A one metre sea level rise could
lead to displacement of 7 million persons within the country and submerge half a
million hectares of land.
4. India is committed to the international regime represented by the UN
Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and its Kyoto Protocol as the
most appropriate tools to guide international efforts to protect global climate
systems by reversing climate change in accordance with the principle of common
but differentiated responsibilities This paper presents a proposal for a specific,
voluntary partnership, within the scope of the present climate change
regime, to enable participating countries decarbonize their energy
futures, while preserving their respective policy spaces to address their
energy needs in light of their individual circumstances. It is not an
alternative to the UNFCCC process, and would not involve any new legally
enforceable country-level commitments, but is based on a new paradigm of practical
actions to deal with climate change.
Responsibility and Burden Sharing
5. The primary responsibility for the threat of climate change, rests on the
industrialized countries who even today emit more than 60% of the greenhouse
gases (GHG). Their historic contribution since the beginning of industrial revolution
has been more than two-third of total global emissions. Unsustainable consumption
patterns in the developed countries continue to contribute significantly to increase in
emissions. The 25 per cent of the global population residing in industrialized
countries not only emits the bulk of GHG but also consumes the bulk of resources.
6. The UNFCCC recognizes that there is a need to deal with the problem of
climate change in accordance with the principle of common but differentiated
responsibility. The primary responsibility to take action to reduce the threat of
climate change is with the industrialized countries. The developed countries were to
take the lead in accordance with the timetable set in the Kyoto Protocol but this has
not happened in any meaningful way. The industrialized countries have not even
initiated any substantive action to fulfill the promises made of returning to 1990
levels of emission by 2000. All industrialized countries are also not parties to the
Kyoto Protocol. During the nineties, the increase in emissions of developed countries
was nearly as much as India's total emissions.
7. International Energy Agency (lEA) projections indicate that aggregate carbon
dioxide emissions of developed countries will continue to increase over the next
three decades, despite their obligations under the UNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol.
According to these projections, even in 2030 emissions from developed countries
will constitute the larger part of global emissions. It is true that carbon dioxide
emissions of developing countries will rise more rapidly than those of industrialized
countries, but this is imperative in order to meet the challenges of poverty
eradication which developing countries face. It is also true that per capita emissions
from developing countries will remain far below the level of industrialized countries
even thirty years from now. In view of this, it is industrialized countries, which need
to undertake greater effort in meeting the international commitments made by
them.
8. Energy is a critical input for development. In particular, for developing
countries, a rapid increase in energy use is imperative, if national development goals
(and the Millennium Development Goals, MDGs) are to be realized. Appendix I lists
Indias current Monitorable Development Goals, and indicates the principal activities
in respect of which increased energy use is essential. The point made is a simple
one realizing the national development goals are impossible without significant
increase in energy use. We therefore believe that it is completely premature to talk
of developing country commitments as developed countries have themselves not
met any of the commitments that they had undertaken under the UNFCCC and the
Kyoto Protocol.
9. Yet, developing countries could significantly impact global emissions by
decarbonizing their economy. Decarbonization in the context of developing
countries, must be taken to mean lower carbon intensity of the economy 1 over time.
It cannot refer to reduction in the absolute level of GHG emitted over time, or to
reduction in the rate of GDP growth, since neither would permit the raising of levels
of living and realization of national development goals. In respect of industrialized
countries it would mean reduction in both carbon intensities of the economy over
time, and fall in the absolute level of GHG emissions. It need not, however, imply
fall in living standards.
10. Decarbonization involves several paths, which are complementary, and not
mutually exclusive. These are principally: enhanced energy efficiency; shift in
primary energy use from fossil fuels to renewables (including hydropower) and
nuclear energy; and changes in production and consumption patterns. Each path
presents a diversity of options and challenges. The options available to a country
depend also on its level of development. Developing countries can follow the path
of decarbonization. However, they need to be provided incentives and helped to
bear the additional burden of such a path if this is to succeed.
India's Efforts to Reduce GHG Emissions
11. While India is not required to reduce her GHG emissions, we have followed
for quite some time GHG friendly policies in our own interest. India's energy strategy
is designed to serve the primary goal of development to bring all citizens above the
poverty line, some 250 million of whom are still poor. Around 500 million Indians
still do not have electricity in their homes. Our current energy mix is 65% percent
fossil fuel, 32% traditional biomass, 2% other renewable sources and 1% nuclear
energy. Our energy demand was about 440 MMTOE in the year 2001-02. These
figures do not include draught human and animal power largely used in the
transportation of passenger and goods.
12. Some of the initiatives taken by India are detailed below:
Introduction of CNG as auto and domestic fuel in the metropolitan cities of
Delhi and Mumbai. This initiative is to be expanded in many other towns and
cities in a time bound manner. Conversion of about 84,000 public transport
vehicles such as buses, taxis and 3 wheelers in Delhi alone is one of the
largest such exercises the world over.
In order to introduce modal shift of transport from private to public, laying of
68.3 Kms of metro line in Delhi by 2005. Subject to availability of resources
other cities to follow suit.
5 percent of blending of ethanol in petrol and diesel is required. In the next
phase, the quantity to be increased to 10 percent. We have a major bio
diesel programme in the country.
A special hydrogen initiative with public private partnership has set well-defined
targets.
Target to increase the forest and tree cover in the country from existing 23
percent to 25 percent by 2007 and 33 percent by 2012.
Electrification of 62,000 villages through conventional grid expansion and
18,000 villages through decentralized non-conventional sources by 2007 is
planned.
Awarded 16 blocks for exploration of coal bed methane.
R&D programme for Coal gasification, beneficiation and liquefaction for value
addition to domestic coal.
Major thrust on renewable energy has over the years led to 3.26 million bio
gas plants, 34.3 million improved wood burning stoves, 350,000 solar
lanterns, 177,000 home lights, 41,400 street lighting systems and 4200 solar
pumping system installed in the country.
Additionally, 3,000 MW of wind power; small and micro hydro plants of 1,600
MW; and 600 MW of biomass based power have been established.
27,760 MW of installed hydropower. Additional 41 schemes of 15,300 MW
power are in different stages of implementation. A national hydropower
initiative targeted at the setting up of an additional 50,000 MW of
hydropower by 2012, of which 50% would be from run-of-river (ROR)
projects without large reservoir capacities.
537 of MW biomass power, about 3000 MW of wind power and 1529 MW
small hydro plants operational in India.
Petroleum Conservation and Research Association and the Bureau of Energy
Efficiency have active campaign for raising public awareness.
13. These efforts and various other initiatives taken by us demonstrate our
resolve in moving towards low carbon economy as a responsible member of the
global community. With a very low per capita consumption of nearly one fifth of
total energy and one twentieth of electricity consumption compared to that of
OECD, India cannot accept any commitment to limit the growth of its energy
consumption or any particular pattern of energy use. We would however, as we
have done, continue to follow a path of cleaner energy technologies, consistent with
our objective of improving the standard of living of all our citizens.
Indias Nuclear Energy Programme
14. Nuclear energy is a relatively clean source of energy, besides also being
economical. Nuclear energy currently generates 16% of the worlds electricity,
thereby avoiding approximately 600 million tonnes of carbon (mtC) emissions
annually. This is approximately 8% of the current global GHG emissions.
15. In India, we have accorded importance to developing nuclear energy for
meeting our energy needs. If we wish to sustain growth rates of 7-8% over the nextcouple of decades, then the scarcity of conventional sources of energy, particularly oil, gas and coal, could become a major constraint for our economy.
16. Our current plans are to raise substantially the contribution of nuclear energy
to the overall energy mix. The technology for setting up of nuclear power plants
and strategies for human resource development are already in place. We believe
that, at the same time, there is a need for the international community to re-look at
nuclear energy and promote its use consistent with non-proliferation concerns.
There needs to be a fresh assessment of nuclear energy, as a clean source of
energy. Legal and political barriers to the use of nuclear energy should be looked at
carefully in a world increasingly vulnerable to the multiple risks of fossil fuels.
We believethat, at the same time, there is a need for the international community to re-look at
nuclear energy and promote its use consistent with non-proliferation concerns.
There needs to be a fresh assessment of nuclear energy, as a clean source of
energy. Legal and political barriers to the use of nuclear energy should be looked at
carefully in a world increasingly vulnerable to the multiple risks of fossil fuels.
The Way Forward A New Paradigm for International Cooperation for
Action on Climate Change
17. India is committed to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change
(UNFCCC) and the Kyoto Protocol, which represent the international consensus on
the way to deal with climate change. Even though the international community has
made promises for technology transfer and additional financing since Rio, this has
not resulted in any effective transfer on the ground. Critical technologies, which can
have significant impact on decarbonization, have been out of reach of developing
countries because of both prohibitive costs and the existing IPR regime.
18. To enhance international cooperation within this framework, a new paradigm
based on the internationally accepted principle of common but differentiated
responsibilities is proposed. The focus is on practical action and partnership between
developed and developing countries. The new paradigm would enable countries to
decarbonize their future, while also preserving for developing countries their
respective policy space to address their energy needs in the light of their individual
circumstances. The three main components of the paradigm are:
Access to clean technologies by developing countries.
Provision of additional financial resources for access to critical technologies by
developing countries.
A network of R&D institutions from both developed and developing countries
to engage in research in new technologies.
Need for a New Approach
19. Decarbonization, which in the context of developing countries should mean
lower carbon intensity of the economy and not reduction in the absolute level of
GHG emitted over time, is not feasible without R&D in, and dissemination of new
relevant technologies. R&D will not happen without innovators reaping reasonable
financial rewards for their effort. Similarly, dissemination will not happen unless the
new technologies are cheaper than the old. The Global Environment Facility (GEF)
and the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) are presently the primary multilateralarrangements to promote dissemination of decarbonization technologies to
developing countries. These have, however, not succeeded in actively promoting
R&D in technologies, which would be of actual interest to developing countries. A
clear need thus exists for promoting R&D in such technologies. There is also need to
ensure that uptake of these technologies is not limited by the perceptions of risk and
high transaction costs involved in the GEF and the CDM.
Placing some IPRs in the public domain for developing countries
20. The IPR issue was successfully addressed with regard to HIV/AIDS. There is
a similar need for it to be addressed with regard to technologies for energy
efficiency and for clean energy.
21. One option would be to redefine the extent of patent protection for such
technologies. The protection could exclude the use of such technologies in
developing countries. Another option would be to establish a mechanism for the
purchase of patent rights of certain technologies for their use in developing
countries. Users in developing countries would then not be required to pay any
license fees for these technologies. The patent holder could, however, continue to
receive license fees for the use of the technology in industrialised countries.
New Financial Window
22. While dealing with the issue of transfer of technology to developing countries,
the question of provision of additional financial resources would have to be dealt
with. The financing of technology transfer to developing countries needs to be in
addition to the existing flows of financing for development. The international
community should explore the possibility of the establishment of a Clean Technology
Acquisition Fund to enable developing countries to access critical technologies. This
would encourage the adoption of clean technologies, and have a significant impact
on decarbonization.
Network of R&D Institutions
23. A network of R&D institutes from developed and developing countries could
be established to engage in research in new technologies, particularly those that
would be of interest to developing countries. The model, which could be followed,
is that of the Consultative Group of International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) that
brings together 15 international agricultural centers for mobilizing science for the
promotion of agricultural growth. A similar network of institutes from developed
and developing countries engaged in R&D in energy efficiency and clean
technologies could be established. We may call such a network CLEANET, which
can be announced at the Gleneagles Summit. All collaborative R&D work done
through the network would be made available to developing countries free of
charge.
24. The network could be set up with voluntary funding from International
Financial Institutions, other international organizations and from both developed and
developing countries. An announcement of voluntary funding for the setting up of
such an R&D network at the Gleneagles Summit would go a long way in
demonstrating commitment to addressing climate change.
25. Additionally, a Global Technology Venture Capital Fund could be established
for the financing of R&D, in particular collaborative R&D projects in industrialized
and developing countries. The Fund may be able to cover some, if not all, of the
costs of the network, through licensing fee from consumers in industrialized
countries for use of the technologies that are developed. Equity contribution in the
Fund and matters relating to its structure and governance could be considered by a
core group of countries.
Appendix I: Indias Development Goals (Monitorable Targets) and their
Energy Use Implications
| S.No. |
Target |
Significant energy inputs |
| 1. |
Reduction of poverty ratio by
5% by 2007 and 15% by
2012
|
Energy inputs for increased production and
consumption. |
| 2. |
Providing gainful and high
quality employment to at least
the addition to the labour
force over the 10 th Plan period
|
Energy inputs for increased production and
consumption. |
| 3. |
All children in school by 2003;
all children to complete 5
years of schooling by 2007
|
Energy for school lunches; transportation;
construction of buildings; production of books,
teaching materials; drinking water, sanitation;
lighting, fans, appliances |
| 4. |
Reduction in gender gaps in
literacy and wage rates by at
least 50% by 2007
|
Same as for 2, 3 above |
| 5. |
Reduction in decadal rate of
population growth between
2001 and 2011 to 16.2%
|
Production, transportation, storage and distribution
of family planning and maternal and child health
supplies and personnel. |
| 6. |
Increase in literacy rates to
75% by 2007
|
Same as for 3 above |
| 7. |
Reduction in infant mortality
rate (IMR) to 45 per 1000 live
births by 2007 and 28 by
2007
|
Production, transportation, storage and distribution
of maternal and child health supplies and
personnel. |
| 8. |
Reduction in maternal
mortality rate (MMR) to 2 per
1000 live births by 2007 and
33% by 2012
|
Same as for 7 above |
| 9. |
Increase in forest and tree
cover to 25% by 2007 and
33% by 2012
|
Production, transportation and distribution of
planting materials and supplies, earthwork,
irrigation, and movement of personnel. In time
afforestation will help increase to availability of
biomass for renewable energy. |
| 10. |
All villages to have sustained
access to potable drinking
water by 2007
|
Extracting, transportation, treatment, and
distribution of drinking water |
| 11. |
Cleaning of all major polluted
rivers by 2007 and other
notified stretches by 2012
|
Pumping of sewage, effluents, and their treatment. |
|